Coordinated Strategic Defaults and Financial Fragility in a Costly State Verification Model

Journal of Financial Intermediation V 23, P 129-139, 2014

Vinicius Nascimento Carrasco, Pablo Hector Seuanez Salgado.

Diversification through a financial intermediary has the benefit of transforming loans that need costly monitoring into bank deposits that do not. We show that financial intermediation in a costly state verification model has a cost not yet analyzed: it allows for the existence of multiple equilibria, some of which are characterized by borrowers defaulting on their loans because they expect other borrowers to do the same (i.e. bad equilibria arise due to strategic complementarities in entrepreneurs’ actions). We propose two mechanisms that fully implement the desired equilibrium allocation.

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