Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables in Data-Rich Environments

Economics Letters V 138, P 50–52, 2016

Gabriel Vasconcelos, Marcelo Medeiros.

We show that high-dimensional models produce, on average, smaller forecasting errors for macroeconomic variables when we consider a large set of predictors. Our results showed that a good selection of the adaptive LASSO hyperparameters also reduces forecast errors

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