Folha de S.Paulo - = TEND=CANCIAS/DEBATES<br>Arthur Virg=EDlio: Distor=E7=F5es, ainda

From: Subject: =?Windows-1252?Q?Folha_de_S.Paulo_-_TEND=CANCIAS/DEBATES=3Cbr=3EArthur_?= =?Windows-1252?Q?Virg=EDlio:_Distor=E7=F5es=2C_ainda_-_20/04/2008?= Date: Sun, 18 May 2008 18:43:00 -0300 MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: multipart/related; type="text/html"; boundary="----=_NextPart_000_0033_01C8B916.FF7D25F0" X-MimeOLE: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V6.00.2900.3198 This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_0033_01C8B916.FF7D25F0 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Content-Location: http://www1.folha.uol.com.br/fsp/opiniao/fz2004200808.htm Folha de S.Paulo - = TEND=CANCIAS/DEBATES<br>Arthur Virg=EDlio: Distor=E7=F5es, ainda - = 20/04/2008 Arthur Virg=EDlio: = Distor=E7=F5es, ainda "=20 name=3Dtitle>

<= FONT=20 size=3D1>
S=E3o Paulo, domingo, 20 de abril de 2008=20

Texto = Anterior | Pr=F3x= imo=20 Texto | =CDndi= ce=20

TEND=CANCIAS/DEBATES

Distor=E7=F5es,=20 ainda

ARTHUR VIRG=CDLIO

Os resultados s=E3o os esperados. Demoraram um pouco, = mas n=E3o se=20 pode esquecer que o governo FHC pegou o Plano Real no = in=EDcio=20

ACREDITAVA ter encerrado o = debate com o=20 prezado senador Aloizio Mercadante ao saudar, em artigo publicado = neste=20 mesmo espa=E7o (23/3), sua convers=E3o (tardia) =E0 pol=EDtica = econ=F4mica herdada=20 do governo anterior e mantida pelo presidente Lula, gra=E7as =E0 = lucidez do=20 ex-ministro da Fazenda Antonio Palocci e do presidente do Banco = Central,=20 Henrique Meirelles.
Mercadante n=E3o gostou, por=E9m, de eu = ter lembrado=20 sua posi=E7=E3o passada, mantida at=E9 muito recentemente, e = voltou, na edi=E7=E3o=20 de domingo, dia 6 ("Dizem, ainda", "Tend=EAncias/Debates"), com = algumas=20 distor=E7=F5es, a come=E7ar pela acusa=E7=E3o de que o ataquei. = N=E3o, n=E3o o fiz!=20 Tenho sempre procurado manter com ele o debate qualificado que a = vida=20 p=FAblica exige.
=C9, acaso, injusto recordar que ele e seu = partido=20 armaram barricadas contra o Plano Real, as privatiza=E7=F5es, o = saneamento das=20 finan=E7as dos Estados, a Lei de Responsabilidade Fiscal, o = Fundef? N=E3o!=20 Quero crer, sinceramente, que acreditavam estar tudo errado. =
No=20 governo, algumas poucas, por=E9m decisivas figuras perceberam o = alcance das=20 medidas e as mantiveram. Nunca deixei, no Senado, de saudar o = maestro=20 dessa mudan=E7a de atitude, ainda que freq=FCentemente entrando em = choque com=20 id=E9ias do senador.
Ainda agora, demonstra ele n=E3o se ter = convertido=20 por inteiro, pois continua entendendo que "a pol=EDtica de metas = de infla=E7=E3o=20 pode ser administrada de forma menos ortodoxa e mais gradativa". = Trocado=20 em mi=FAdos: com as r=E9deas um tanto soltas. Sabe-se bem at=E9 = onde iria a=20 infla=E7=E3o se corresse livre. Indicativo disso s=E3o os = =EDndices do =FAltimo m=EAs=20 de mar=E7o, que extrapolaram o centro da meta, repetindo o quadro = de=20 fevereiro.
Curiosa a mais n=E3o poder =E9 a = "tese-justificativa" formulada=20 por Mercadante: "Como explicar que pol=EDticas em tese id=EAnticas = tenham dado=20 resultados t=E3o d=EDspares?". Ora, senador, os resultados s=E3o = os esperados.=20 Demoraram um pouco para aparecer porque o governo Fernando = Henrique=20 Cardoso n=E3o teve a sorte de Lula de encontrar cen=E1rio = internacional t=E3o=20 favor=E1vel em quatro anos de gest=E3o. O governo passado = enfrentou=20 tempestades, a come=E7ar pelas mais dr=E1sticas, como a dos tigres = asi=E1ticos,=20 a da R=FAssia e a do M=E9xico.
N=E3o se pode esquecer tamb=E9m = que o governo=20 Fernando Henrique pegou o Plano Real no seu in=EDcio. Tirava-se o = pa=EDs,=20 bruscamente, de uma infla=E7=E3o anual de 764% (m=E9dia entre 1990 = e 1994) para=20 =EDndices "civilizados" de mais ou menos 4% a 5% ao ano.
Era = experi=EAncia=20 nova, sujeita a corre=E7=F5es em raz=E3o dos desajustes = estruturais da economia.=20 A valoriza=E7=E3o do real, por exemplo, teve, no meio do caminho, = de ser=20 ajustada =E0 realidade.
E ent=E3o, com as demais medidas de = moderniza=E7=E3o e=20 racionaliza=E7=E3o do pa=EDs, chegou-se =E0 estabilidade = econ=F4mica t=E3o sonhada. Em=20 2003, a semeadura estava feita.
O Brasil estava saneado e = preparado=20 para o momento da colheita, que teria chegado antes, n=E3o fosse o = estremecimento experimentado pela economia diante da perspectiva = de=20 vit=F3ria eleitoral do PT. Temia-se um retrocesso, considerando o = hist=F3rico=20 do partido e de seu l=EDder m=E1ximo. O d=F3lar disparou, beirando = os R$ 4. Os=20 investidores, internos e externos, prudentemente, retra=EDram-se.=20
Felizmente para o pa=EDs, o "monstro" chegou manso ao poder. = Surpreendeu=20 a todos ao nomear Palocci e ao buscar, entre os deputados eleitos = pelo=20 PSDB, algu=E9m com experi=EAncia em finan=E7as e mercado para = presidir o Banco=20 Central. Rendeu-se, com m=E9ritos, =E0 cartilha econ=F4mica do = governo anterior=20 e, agora, colhe frutos que poderiam ter sido maiores, n=E3o fossem = a=20 incompet=EAncia administrativa e o pequeno apetite reformista. =
Eis a=20 verdade que o senador precisa enxergar. Encar=E1-la =E9 o melhor = meio de=20 ajudar o presidente Lula a repetir o =EAxito, pondo fim =E0 farra = fiscal, =E0=20 farra da gastan=E7a de seu segundo per=EDodo.
Os juros = b=E1sicos dever=E3o=20 aumentar a partir de agora, precisamente porque ao Banco Central = n=E3o resta=20 alternativa fora da pol=EDtica monet=E1ria. O governo, afinal, = descuida da=20 parte fiscal, e m=E1gica n=E3o existe em economia. S=F3 no circo! =
Ou os=20 gastos de custeio s=E3o fortemente reduzidos ou os juros, diante = do repique=20 inflacion=E1rio, terminar=E3o em outro processo de ascens=E3o. E, = a=ED, espero que=20 Mercadante n=E3o volte a criticar Meirelles, como fez, = anteriormente, em=20 situa=E7=E3o assemelhada.
Finalmente, registro o equ=EDvoco = t=E9cnico do=20 =FAltimo artigo de Mercadante: euf=F3rico com a queda na = rela=E7=E3o d=EDvida/PIB,=20 aplicou a nova metodologia de aferi=E7=E3o ao ano de 2007, por=E9m = n=E3o a 2002,=20 que apontou 50,5%, contra os 59,6% por infelicidade publicados. =

ARTHUR VIRG=CDLIO , 62, =E9 senador pelo PSDB-AM e = l=EDder do=20 partido no Senado.

Os artigos publicados com assinatura = n=E3o=20 traduzem a opini=E3o do jornal. Sua publica=E7=E3o obedece ao = prop=F3sito de=20 estimular o debate dos problemas brasileiros e mundiais e de = refletir as=20 diversas tend=EAncias do pensamento contempor=E2neo. debates@uol.com.br=20

Texto Anterior: Frases=

Pr=F3ximo=20 Texto: M=E1rc= io=20 Thomaz Bastos e Luiz Armando Badin: A vit=F3ria hist=F3rica em = Raposa/Serra do=20 Sol

=CDndi= ce=20

Copyright Empresa Folha da Manh=E3 = S/A. Todos os=20 direitos reservados. =C9 proibida a reprodu=E7=E3o do conte=FAdo = desta p=E1gina em=20 qualquer meio de comunica=E7=E3o, eletr=F4nico ou impresso, sem = autoriza=E7=E3o=20 escrita da Folhapress.=20

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